Packers vs Titans:
LOCKS:
GB -3 (-125):
"Were not dead yet"- Aaron....Rodgers
I think the packers finally realized if they establish a run first offense behind Jones and AJ Dillion they aren't as bad as their record shows. The Titans are banged up and I anticipate the Packers defense to game plan for Derrick Henry to stop the run. Death, Taxes, and a Scorned Aaron Rodgers trying to make the playoffs.
Rodgers U 33.5 Passing Attempts (-109)
Packers only threw it 20 times last week against Dallas, 3 of those were for TD's. I expect limited passing from Rodgers and GB, and a heavy ground attack.
Derrick Henry to score a TD (-175)
Derrick Henry O98.5 Rushing Yards (-131)
They don't call him King Henry for nothing. Since Week 3 Henry ranks 1st in touches, scrimmage yards, and rushing yards. With a Green Bay defense that has struggled against the run all season...and the last few years, expect the Titans to feed Henry early and often to keep Rodgers on the sidelines and the clock ticking. Throw back to when Henry made Josh Norman look like a little boy...imagine having to tackle this guy.
Under 42.0 (-110)
Don't quote me, but I don't believe there has been a TNF game this season where the over hit. With two slow paced teams (Titans ranked slowest pace team/GB ranked 28th) and two offenses that will be running the ball a lot don't expect a lot of points. Titans haven't allowed more than 22 points in a game this season, excluding when they played Buffalo Week 2. I got this line early in the week and it's currently sitting at 41.
LONGSHOTS:
Aaron Jones to Score 2 TD's (+525)
For the value this is the move. I already talked about how this is going to be a run heavy game and I expect the Packers to have Jones carry the load and bring home the W.
Christian Watson 1st TD Scorer (+750)
Maybe I am looking too much into Watsons 3 TD game on Sunday against Dallas, but wouldn't surprise me if Rodgers looks his way early and continues to build off the connection they had last game.
PARLAYS:
"Let's Not Pass" Henry (o 98.5 rushing yards), Jones (o57.5 rushing yards), AJ Dillion (o33.5 rushing yards) +650
"Go Pack Go" Rodgers (o1.5 passing TDs), Rodgers (u243.5 passing yards), Jones (o22.5 receiving yards), GB (ML) +750
And as always....bet responsibly and enjoy @MillerLite
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