Mets. Yankees. Subway Series. Late July right before the trade deadline. This was supposed to be a benchmark meeting of the two New York clubs as they primed for the final two months of the regular season and an ultimate playoff push.
The latest Subway Series comes with much more on the line than bragging rights for the Yankees and Mets. Both teams, built with win-now rosters filled with expensive veterans, enter this week’s two-game set at Yankee Stadium outside of the postseason picture and running out of time to establish themselves as the contenders many expected them to be.
The New York Mets will send a hot-hitting Brandon Nimmo to the plate against the New York Yankees and Gleyber Torres, who has been on a tear as of late. Torres has collected a hit in 13 straight games. During his last 10 games he is batting .381 with a triple, three home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
For the Yankees, these games mean a whole lot more for them than it does for the Mets. The Yanks are 8.5 games back of the surprise division-leading Baltimore Orioles but just two back in the Wild Card, tied with the rival Boston Red Sox as they look up at another AL East side, the Toronto Blue Jays who possess the final playoff berth in the American League.
A sweep of the lowly Kansas City Royals helped to ease some tensions created by three straight losses against the Los Angeles Angels, which proceeded series losses to the Chicago Cubs and Colorado Rockies. Without Judge the Yankees are 18-22. They’ll need to stay afloat for a bit longer, meaning they have to fatten up against struggling teams.
The Mets however, are a struggling tam that the Yankees look to capitalize against.
After going 9-4 around the All-Star break, the Mets have lost three of their last four, including two of three to the Red Sox to all but cement their status as trade-deadline sellers.
This will be one of the last series in which their current team is all together as veterans on expiring contracts such as Mark Canha or Tommy Pham are expected to be moved. Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander could also be dealt. A poor effort against the Yankees will only provide further insult to injury for one of Major League Baseball’s most disappointing teams.
The Mets have had little success as of late in the Bronx, dropping six of the last seven games at Yankee Stadium.
Mets Recent Betting Performance
The Mets played as the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-2 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total two times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Mets are 2-8-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Yankees Recent Betting Performance
The Yankees have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Yankees have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Game 1 Bets:
Anthony Rizzo To Hit HR (+440)
Pitching Parlay: German o5.5/Verlander u6.5 strikeouts (+196)
Hitting Parlay (NYM): Nimmo o0.5/Lindor o0.5/Alonso u0.5 hits (+475)
Yankees ML (-105)
Over 8.5 runs (+105)