Moment of Truth: Can Tommy Finally Break Through and Win the Tour Championship?

Heading into today’s final round, our bet is firmly planted on Tommy Fleetwood—though Russell Henley remains a solid alternative—because Fleetwood’s form has been unerringly compelling. He’s been riding a consistent wave of high-level performance and, despite some heartbreaking near-misses, looks poised to convert at East Lake. Henley, sharing early momentum, felt less steady as the weekend wore on. So Fleetwood feels like the sharper option right now.

Leaderboard Snapshot Heading into Sunday, August 24, 2025

Player	Score (Under Par)
Tommy Fleetwood	–16
Patrick Cantlay	–16
Russell Henley	–14
Keegan Bradley	–13
Scottie Scheffler	–12

• Fleetwood and Cantlay are co-leaders at –16 heading into the final round.

• Henley trails by two strokes at –14.

• Bradley is lurking close behind in fourth at –13.

• Scheffler remains a threat at –12.

Third-round highlights:

• Tommy Fleetwood shot a 3-under 67, scorching with four straight birdies on the front nine, suffering a costly double bogey at the 15th, but regrouping with late birdies to stay tied atop.

• Patrick Cantlay comes alive with a phenomenal 8-under 64, going 4 under over his last five holes—including three birdies to close—tying Fleetwood at –16.

• Russell Henley, the 36-hole co-leader, merely carded a 69 and sits at –14.

• Keegan Bradley delivered a hot 63 to reach –13, but his focus may also be edging toward Ryder Cup captain’s picks.

• Scottie Scheffler, after early bogeys, rallied with five birdies over eight holes to finish at –12.

• This year’s format — a standard 72-hole stroke play with no starting strokes, unlike previous staggered-format editions — means any player can win based purely on their aggregate score.

What Tommy Fleetwood Must Do to Finally Break Through

Tommy Fleetwood stands at –16, eyeing not only his first PGA Tour win ever, but a $10 million payday with the FedExCup title. Here’s how he can seize Sunday:

1. Stay Calm and Consistent After the 15th Hole

Sunday will be a mental test. Recovering from his double bogey on 15 Saturday to birdie 16 and 17 shows composure. He needs to keep that poise under pressure, especially on the back nine, where mistakes can cost titles.

2. Keep Up the Momentum on Birdie Runs

His four consecutive birdies Saturday show he can go low. Producing similar bursts on Sunday—especially during the front nine—could give him the edge.

3. Apply Pressure Early to Cantlay

Cantlay’s closing surge Sunday could rattle someone. Fleetwood’s early aggression could keep it a two-man race and force Cantlay into risky territory.

4. Execute Around the Green

This week, Fleetwood has ranked among the top in strokes gained in both approach and putting. Keeping up that elite short-game performance is key.

5. Leverage Experience of Close Calls

Though heart-wrenching, his near-misses at Travelers and the St. Jude had him leading late; those experiences may steel him mentally now. Acknowledging that history but staying focused on the moment could be his advantage.

• Leaders: Fleetwood and Cantlay at –16

• Threats: Henley (–14), Bradley (–13), Scheffler (–12)

• Format: Traditional stroke play, all start at even par

• Stakes: $10 million winner’s share, FedExCup title, Ryder Cup implications

Fleetwood has a golden chance to exorcise his “close-but-never-quite” demons and land that elusive PGA Tour victory. If he plays smart, strikes when the moment calls, and avoids unforced errors, Sunday could be his day.