Blue Jays team total u3.5 runs (+105)
The Blue Jays are batting an abysmal .144 against right-handed pitchers this season to go along with a .250 OBP and .492 OPS. Outside of the newly-acquired Justin Turner, who’s batting .318 with four RBI, there’s really nothing to like about Toronto’s performance at the plate thus far this season.
Gleyber Torres Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Torres is one of the few Yankees off to a slow start this season but a matchup with Yusei Kikuchi could definitely help him find his swing again. Torres had a .921 OPS vs. left-handed pitchers in 2023 and has absolutely crushed Kikuchi in his career. Torres is 9-21 with two doubles and dinger and maybe most impressively just one strikeout. That's good for a .403 expected batting average and a .712 expected slugging. Simply put, he sees the ball very well out of Kikuchi's hand and I like him to show some pop in the Yankees home opener today.
Dodgers o4.5 runs (+107)
The Dodgers have plated five or more in every game this season, and they’ve been dangerous against righties with a fifth-ranked 128 wRC+ and sixth-ranked 35.0 hard-hit percentage. Hendricks lasted just 3.2 innings against Texas in his season debut, and the Rangers squared him up to the tune of five runs on nine hits, which included two home runs, three barrels and five hard hits. Los Angeles will be an equally challenging test for the soft-tossing righty.
Hunter Greene o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
Right-hander Hunter Greene gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds and should be a good candidate in the strikeout department vs. the New York Mets. Yes, there are certainly flaws with Greene’s game, but the punchout is not one of them. Despite allowing two runs on five hits in under five innings of work in his first start of 2024, Greene still racked up seven strikeouts. If he had gone longer, he could have gotten to eight, a number I believe he can eclipse by going against this terrible New York lineup. This season, the Mets rank in the Bottom 4 of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, OBP, SLG and OPS.
Tommy Henry o4.5 strikeouts (+120)
Henry isn’t as bad as his numbers appear. He made a couple of bad pitches that led to a two-run bomb in his season opener, but only walked two over his four innings on the bump. He did fan one per frame and meets a Braves offense that might press a bit tonight in their home opener. They have struggled against left-handed pitching thus far, and if Henry can keep the ball down in the zone like he mostly did against the Rockies, he’ll get enough opportunities to clear his 4.5 strikeout prop.
Cody Bradford u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+123)
The Houston Astros do an incredible job at avoiding punchouts, ranking fourth in K%. Meanwhile, Cody Bradford struggled mightily in that department for the Texas Rangers last year, ranking in the 21st percentile in Whiff% and 37th percentile in K%. Through 35 career plate appearances against Bradford, this current Houston lineup possesses a mere 17.1 K% and 13.7 Whiff%.
Hunter Brown Over 5.5 strikeouts (+110)
Hunter Brown did not put together the strongest rookie campaign for the Houston Astros, but he was excellent with the punchout as he ranked in the 75th percentile in K%. He recorded nearly 200 strikeouts, which is impressive for the former fifth round pick out of Wayne State. In his last start against the Texas Rangers in 2023, Brown recorded six strikeouts across just four innings of work. There are plenty of good strikeout candidates in the Rangers’ lineup among the likes of Adolis Garcia, Jared Walsh and Ezequiel Duran, all of whom possess a K% north of 27% this season.
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